Tuesday, September 15, 2009

HoS Mircopost: Forecasting Innovation, or Predicting Nobel Laureates

Posted by Darin Hayton on 09/15 at 11:14 AM

Predicting the future is a risky game. The surest way to get it right might be to predict most likely outcomes. The WSJ is moving that direction in this article that offers some predictions about this year’s Nobel Prize winners:
The Nobel Prize Will Go To…

I wonder if William Hill (the betting house in England) is offering odds on any of these? They did pretty well predicting The Royal Society Book Prize winner (see the odds at the bottom of the Guardian article).

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